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    Forward-thinking

    企业增长与交易

    企业增长与如何执行交易相比,交易的规模和频率并不那么重要。

    一家企业变得越大,它要满足投资者对增长的期望就越困难。兼并和收购是必要的,但需要的交易规模应该有多大、交易次数应该有多频繁呢?由于一次可能会使一家小企业市值翻番的交易几乎不会引起一家大企业的兴趣,因此,许多大企业都会追求规模更大的交易、或者由多项规模较小的交易构成的整体交易。这两种交易策略中的任何一种是否往往都能引向成功呢?

    显然不能。在按市值计算的1,000家最大的企业中1,交易规模和频率的分布状况与企业的业绩(用超过总的股东回报率来衡量)几乎没有太大的关系。无论企业是完成了一笔大交易、许多小交易,还是几乎没有完成交易,似乎都无关紧要。按照统计的说法,样本的分布状况反映出,交易规模与公司市值的不同组合不但分布广泛,而且相互重叠。从价值创造的角度来看,这一统计结果意味着,与用来对交易进行甄别、定价、整合和管理的行为准则相比,交易的规模和次数并不那么重要。

     

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